People’s CDC COVID-19 Weather Report

The Weather

Much has happened since our last report. We list a few of the concerning things that have occurred recently and also offer this Explainer to Recent Public Health Policy – How are Some Decisions Made and Who are the Decision Makers?

The most recent CDC national wastewater map, updated on May 15, 2025, shows data from May 4 to May 10 of this year. Using the People’s CDC’s warm-toned version of the map, we see that three states, Louisiana, Nebraska, South Dakota, and the territory of Guam (with limited data) have high levels of COVID in wastewater. Hawaii and Nevada show moderate levels. This update had four states with limited data, meaning that data from those states is based on not enough data, in this case, less than 5% of the population. There is no data for North Dakota and the US Virgin Islands. The CDC says that national levels are “low,” with the West having the highest levels. However, you can check your state here to see which areas in your state have high levels.

A map of the United States color-coded in shades of orange and gray, displaying COVID Wastewater Viral Activity level from the dates May 11th 2024 to May 10th 2025 using CDC data updated on May 15, 2025. Deeper tones correlate to higher viral activity, and gray indicates “Insufficient” or “No Data.” Text above the map reads Four States and Territories Have “High Levels”. There is no data for North Dakota and the US Virgin Islands. At the bottom, the text reads “People’s CDC. Source: CDC.”

Graphic source: CDC

Wastewater trends show that the US is seeing no changes in the amount of COVID in wastewater levels across the country. All regions in the US are seeing stable levels. However, we expect levels to potentially rise again as we enter the summer season.

Note, this modeling uses data from emergency department visits to estimate COVID transmission’s Rt , Ris an estimate of the average number of new infections caused by each infectious person. An Rgreater than 1.0 indicates that infections are growing, while an Rt less than 1.0 indicates that they’re declining. 

Wastewater COVID National and Regional Trends

A line graph’s title reads COVID Wastewater Trends. May 11 2024 through May 10 2025. From data last updated May 15t 2025. Wastewater Viral Activity Levels are indicated on the left-hand vertical axis, going from “Very Low” to “Very High”, and “Week Ending” across the horizontal axis, with date labels ranging from 5/11/24 to 5/10/25. A key at the bottom indicates line colors. National is black, Midwest is orange, South is purple, Northeast is light blue, and West is green. Nationally the line graph appears to be plateauing with all regions in the CDC’s “Low” category. There is a slight downward trend in the South and Northeast regions, and a slight upward trend in the Midwest and West regions. The line graph shows all regions with upward trends in the summer months of 2024. Text at the bottom reads “People’s CDC. Source: CDC.”

Graphic source: CDC

As always, remember that the CDC levels of “Very High,” “High,” “Moderate,” “Low,” and “Very Low” do not directly relate to community transmission. Wastewater data are best used to show whether COVID levels are going up or down in your area, and how they compare to other times during the pandemic. 

There will be a hearing this week about California’s Wastewater Surveillance legislation. Other states could use this as a model to protect this important monitoring system. If county-level wastewater data is not available in your area, call your governor, state senators, and assembly to ask for it.

Wins

There are many actions and lawsuits in or heading to the courts to protect public health. 

Vaccines

People’s CDC supports the need for continuing universal, meaning easy and free, access to COVID vaccines. This week the advisory committee (VRBAC) will meet and decide on which formula to use for the upcoming COVID vaccines.

This June, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) will meet to vote on who should be able to get the COVID vaccines and how often. Their meeting is very important for who gets COVID vaccines and how many boosters will be included  for fall 2025 – 2026. After, ACIP makes their recommendations, the Centers for Disease Control, will decide on and release the final vaccine schedules.

See our Explainer to Recent Public Health Policy – How are Some Decisions Made and Who are the Decision Makers?

Long COVID 

14 million people were included in a new review (a meta-analysis) of Long Covid. The authors reviewed studies of people with and without COVID to compare their symptoms. Over twice as many people with COVID had poor concentration and memory loss, or muscle weakness or muscle pain. Long COVID (LC), as we know, has a significant public health impact. It is important to seek care and find a healthcare provider who is both competent and effective. This list has some providers listed by state. You can click on your state on this map from Solve Long Covid Initiative to see costs for care and lost earnings from disabling LC. In January, RFK promised that LC data and research would continue, but the CDC’s Office of Long COVID Research and Practices was shut down in March. With the help of advocates, an important NIH research study, Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery, has regained some funding.

Take Action

We must speak out against attacks on public health. Silence achieves nothing, while advocacy can work. We’ve seen some long COVID funds restored, some staff allowed to return to work, total mask bans fail, and many more examples from determined advocates.

  • Speak out with op eds and letters to the editor. This hour-long training from the new organization, Defend Public Health can help get you started. 
  • Speak out against Medicaid cuts with this letter from Disability Rights California. They are hosting a “townhall” about Medicaid with time for questions and answers. Use this toolkit from Advocates for Community Health to reach your representatives about the importance of saving Medicaid.
  • Speak out against the firing of federal workers with this Public Comment Toolkit.
  • If you haven’t already, you can watch last week’s Senate hearing on the proposed 2026 budget. Then go to the American Public Health Association’s letter to demand that public health survives the proposed budget cuts.
  • If a mask ban is coming your way, use this #StopMaskBans resource from MaskTogetherAmerica.

Other Viruses and Health Risks

Measles 

Measles in the US this year reached 1,024 confirmed cases as of May 16, 2025. Week to week numbers of people with measles seem to be slowing as reflected in the downward slope on the  graph “Weekly measles cases by rash onset date”. But a cough or sneeze from one person with measles can infect 90% of nearby unvaccinated people. This last week there have been people infected with measles at Newark AirportSeattle-Tacoma International Airport, and people with measles have now been reported from 31 states or jurisdictions. CDC’s Project Firstline has a new measles resource to help control measles infections and resources for various communities on their website. Be certain you have had protective vaccination especially before summer travel. 

People’s CDC appreciates our readers! We updated our website with more subscription and donation options. If you’re donating to us through Substack, consider getting the Substack for free (it’s not paywalled!) and donating to us directly. You can choose a one-time or recurring donation. That way, there will be fewer fees for your bank account and ours!

Notes: 1) The numbers in this report were current as of 5/16/2025. 2) Check out the links throughout & see our website for more at https://peoplescdc.org. 3) Subscribe to our newsletter: People’s CDC | Substack.

 

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

The People’s CDC is a coalition of public health practitioners, scientists, healthcare workers, educators, advocates and people from all walks of life working to reduce the harmful impacts of COVID-19.

We provide guidance and policy recommendations to governments and the public on COVID-19, disseminating evidence-based updates that are grounded in equity, public health principles, and the latest scientific literature.

Working alongside community organizations, we are building collective power and centering equity as we work together to end the pandemic. The People’s CDC is volunteer-run and independent of partisan political and corporate interests and includes anonymous local health department and other government employees. The People’s CDC is completely volunteer run with infrastructure support being provided by the People’s Science Network.

Though the People’s CDC was supported initially through a Robert Wood Johnson Foundation grant, that grant has long expired. We no longer pursue or accept grant funding. We are now entirely funded by people who donate to us. Most of these donations make their way to us through our Substack platform (which anyone can access for free!) or through purchases of People’s CDC swag. Our website now has a donate link for anonymous donations.

The content that we put out is entirely created by volunteers who receive no funding for their work. We pay one person for their labor–a digital organizer. They help us update and maintain our website, make sure we all know what meetings are happening and when, post our content on social media, and monitor our email. They also act as the point person between our organization and our fiscal sponsor, People’s Science Network.

We also pay for a People’s CDC T-shirt for any volunteer who wants one.

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